Looking at key events many have observed that there appears to be a 7 year cycle. For example looking back at the most recent multiples (going back in 7 year increments), we can see it marks some major adverse market events. THE SEPTEMBER “SHEMITAH” My friend and repeat Macro Analytic guest, Jeff Berwick has published […]
Consumer, Investor and Trader Sentiment has shifted and Global Consumer Confidence is showing clear signs of deteriorating. Market Internals and Market Breadth can be best described as increasingly troublesome! We have Event Risk in Greece, China, Brazil, and Puerto Rico … and the list goes on. We have Q2 earnings down 1.3% Y-o-Y and markets […]
What is the prognosis for market internals which are hemorrhaging and breadth that is at critically low levels? Might the “life support” from the Federal Reserve no longer be enough? Let’s look at both and see what we should expect. MARKET INTERNALS John Hussman writes: “The central lesson of the half-cycle advance since 2009 is […]
TRIGGER$ charting uses the HPTZ Methodology for its set-up and market analysis. The method naturally creates a technical road map that can be used for Pure Technical Trading strategies. Three examples of the method in action are given below, demonstrating the use of technicals for trading. Model Portfolios The three examples are taken from our […]
The Canadian Dollar has fallen 23% against the US Dollar since Valentine’s Day of 2013. Is the worst over? Or is there more pain to come? The Bull Case There are a few reasons why the CAD might rise: The Fed does not hike rates in 2015. The US economy decelerates faster than Canada’s does. […]
HIDDEN AGENDAS – Coming Out of Hiding! We have talked in our GMTP service and our Financial Repression video interviews about what we suspected was ahead for the developed economies as Macroprudential Monetary Policies continued to be hurriedly implemented. I would like to discuss this in the context of the unfolding developments in Greece and […]
CROSS CURRENTS With all investor eyes on developments in Greece, a historic market crash in China, Puerto Rico threatening bond default, it is hard to tell exactly what is driving the market? Is it Bonds, Credit, Currencies, Global Equities etc? Which financial relationships tell us what to expect going forward? Historically for those who watch […]
Earnings estimates are being steadily reduced while a major year-end lift, which has seldom ever been delivered on, is temporarily being maintained by analysts. Expect it to evaporate in October as Q3 earnings are released. What basis investors can rationalize accept such year-end performance estimates is beyond this simple scribe’s ability to comprehend! LONG […]
TECHNICALS & MARKET ANALYTICS Volatile Estimates in Europe July 14, 2015by Jennifer Thomson in Changes in sales and earnings estimates have historically ranked fairly high in our factor analysis– a methodology we employ to gauge which variables have the greatest influence on/ correlation with moves in the overall market. Generally speaking, both variables have improved (albeit marginally) since […]
Global Research.ca The crushing Greek debt could be canceled the way it was made – by sleight of hand. But saving the Greek people and their economy is evidently not in the game plan of the Eurocrats. Greece’s creditors have finally brought the country to its knees, forcing President Alexis Tsipras to agree to austerity […]