MATASII: 10 UST YIELD ~2.85 June 2018
MATASII: 10 UST YIELD ~2.85 June 2018
Gordon Long TNX, TRIGGER$ February 2018
MATASII: 10 UST YIELD ~2.85 June 2018
Gordon Long TRIGGER$ January 2018, USD
UNDERSTANDING THE 2017 US$ WEAKNESS Not shown in the chart above is the US Treasury selling pressures from China and Japan as they reduced their dollar FX Reserves. It really began to increase after the Trump election victory. Prior to this the banks were already concerned with what they saw ahead for the US Economy […]
Gordon Long TNX, TRIGGER$ January 2018
DOLLAR FUNDING COSTS (FX HEDGING COSTS) SURGE – “BASIS SWAPS” WILL POTENTIALLY CURTAIL UST DEMAND — SOURCE: 12-27-17 ZeroHedge – “In An Unexpected Outcome, Trump Tax Reform Just Blew Up The Treasury Market” — Over the past week we have shown on several occasions that there once again appears to be a sharp, sudden dollar-funding […]
Gordon Long TNX, TRIGGER$ January 2018
DOLLAR FUNDING COSTS (FX HEDGING COSTS) SURGE – “BASIS SWAPS” WILL POTENTIALLY CURTAIL UST DEMAND — SOURCE: 12-27-17 ZeroHedge – “In An Unexpected Outcome, Trump Tax Reform Just Blew Up The Treasury Market” — Over the past week we have shown on several occasions that there once again appears to be a sharp, sudden dollar-funding […]
Gordon Long TNX, TRIGGER$ January 2018
CREDIT RISK TRANSFER (CRT) BONDS THE NEW “BIG THING” FOR BOND YIELDS Floating Rate, Credit Risk Transfer (CRT) Bonds among best-performing debt of year (>10% v 7.2% HY & 5.9% IG), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac said they probably will sell around $13 billion of credit-risk transfer securities in their main programs in 2018, Planned tax […]
Gordon Long TNX, TRIGGER$ January 2018
IMF WARNS: EM DEBT NEAR POTENTIAL TIPPING POINT DUE TO SIZE OF LOOMING ROLLOVERS Tighter policy to sap funding pool for emerging nations Half of total external debt stock of EM issuers due by 2022 — SOURCE: 12-19-17 Bloomberg – “IMF Warns One of Most Crowded Bond Trades Near Tipping Point” — It’s one of […]
Gordon Long TNX, TRIGGER$ January 2018
UST SUPPLY ABOUT TO NEARLY DOUBLE – YIELDS INCREASING DEPENDENT ON FOREIGN DEMAND — SOURCE: 12-19-17 Bloomberg – “U.S. Treasury Sales Are About to Double 2018. Who’s Buying?” — Onus may shift to price-sensitive investors like hedge funds If central banks step back, that could mean higher yields With the U.S. about to sell the most debt […]
Gordon Long TRIGGER$ November 2017
US equity futures have hit a new records, helped by surging Asian and European stocks which have all started November on a euphoric note. Surging commodity prices, optimism about tax reform and hope for a new dovish Fed chair all combined to drive global stock markets to record highs, with the MSCI’s world stock index […]
Gordon Long GLD, TRIGGER$ November 2017
SII: HARD ASSETS – GOLD MINER BULL TRENDS SINCE 1942 – SOMETHING IS HAPPENING HERE? The start of something big? Gold miners bull trends since 1942 Source: Incrementum; ‘In Gold We Trust Report’ Gold mining shares entered a new bull market in January 2016 when gold turned. The bull move has seen a 180% rise […]
Gordon Long AAPL, TRIGGER$ October 2017
SII: FANG & NOSH – TECHNOLOGY THE TOP SIX GLOBAL MARKET CAP COMPANIES (FOR FIRST TIME) Technology mega-caps occupy all top six spots in the ranks of the world’s largest companies by market capitalization for the first time ever. Up 39% this year, the $1 trillion those firms added in value equals the combined worth of […]