AAPL, AMZN, FB, GOOGL, MSFT, NFLX, TRIGGER$ January 2018
FAANG BUBBLE STATISTICS — SOURCE: 06-08-18 EconMatters – “FAANG Bubble Statistics” — Everyone has piled into the same trade for long enough that we have an acronym for this herd mentality in FANG, then expanded to FAANG, and other derivatives to include hot stocks like Microsoft and Nvidia. The lack of imagination on behalf of […]
UNDERSTANDING THE 2017 US$ WEAKNESS Not shown in the chart above is the US Treasury selling pressures from China and Japan as they reduced their dollar FX Reserves. It really began to increase after the Trump election victory. Prior to this the banks were already concerned with what they saw ahead for the US Economy […]
DOLLAR FUNDING COSTS (FX HEDGING COSTS) SURGE – “BASIS SWAPS” WILL POTENTIALLY CURTAIL UST DEMAND — SOURCE: 12-27-17 ZeroHedge – “In An Unexpected Outcome, Trump Tax Reform Just Blew Up The Treasury Market” — Over the past week we have shown on several occasions that there once again appears to be a sharp, sudden dollar-funding […]
DOLLAR FUNDING COSTS (FX HEDGING COSTS) SURGE – “BASIS SWAPS” WILL POTENTIALLY CURTAIL UST DEMAND — SOURCE: 12-27-17 ZeroHedge – “In An Unexpected Outcome, Trump Tax Reform Just Blew Up The Treasury Market” — Over the past week we have shown on several occasions that there once again appears to be a sharp, sudden dollar-funding […]
CREDIT RISK TRANSFER (CRT) BONDS THE NEW “BIG THING” FOR BOND YIELDS Floating Rate, Credit Risk Transfer (CRT) Bonds among best-performing debt of year (>10% v 7.2% HY & 5.9% IG), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac said they probably will sell around $13 billion of credit-risk transfer securities in their main programs in 2018, Planned tax […]
IMF WARNS: EM DEBT NEAR POTENTIAL TIPPING POINT DUE TO SIZE OF LOOMING ROLLOVERS Tighter policy to sap funding pool for emerging nations Half of total external debt stock of EM issuers due by 2022 — SOURCE: 12-19-17 Bloomberg – “IMF Warns One of Most Crowded Bond Trades Near Tipping Point” — It’s one of […]
UST SUPPLY ABOUT TO NEARLY DOUBLE – YIELDS INCREASING DEPENDENT ON FOREIGN DEMAND — SOURCE: 12-19-17 Bloomberg – “U.S. Treasury Sales Are About to Double 2018. Who’s Buying?” — Onus may shift to price-sensitive investors like hedge funds If central banks step back, that could mean higher yields With the U.S. about to sell the most debt […]