US TREASURY BULL MARKET TO RESUME – A ROADMAP WITH YIELD EXPECTATIONS — SOURCE: 10-08-18- Authored by Eric Hickman via KesslerCompanies.com, – “A Roadmap For The Upcoming US Treasury Bull Market” — With the economic expansion nine months from being the longest in U.S. history, the yield curve nearly flat and housing market indicators peaking earlier this […]
MARKET WATCHING FANGS FOR SIGNAL OF A FED MISCUE! Swiss private bank has reduced holdings of U.S. equities Index of giant tech shares is down 13% since June peak — SOURCE: 10-08-18 Bloomberg, Greg Hunter – “Watch FANG Stocks for Warning of Fed Mistake, Says Julius Baer” — If the Federal Reserve tightens U.S. monetary […]
QT DRIVING GLOBAL BOND SUPPLY & RISING YIELDS — SOURCE: 10-07-18 – “”Waiting For The World To End” – Bond Rout Bodes Badly For Exuberant Equity Investors” — It was a tough week for stock market investors but the primary driver of the chaotic crumble in small caps and tech stocks was not one of […]
THE CRITICAL TAKEAWAYS FROM THE US “YIELD SHOCK” — SOURCE: 10-04-18 Nomura, Bilal Hafeez – “3 Important Takeaways From The US Yield Shock” — KEY MESSAGES The market is pricing a higher neutral rate (r*), Euro real yields have also moved, The real story could be higher Japanese 10 Year yields Many are likely to […]
AN UPGRADED NEUTRAL RATE (R-STAR) IS RE-PRICING LONG END OF STEEPENING YIELD CURVE Posted:Fri, 05 Oct 2018 10:57:32 -0400 — SOURCE: 10-05-18 – “McElligott: “It’s The Steepener, Stupid”” — In his comment from yesterday, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott highlighted several key ways in which the latest rout in interest rates has been different from previous episodes, most […]
GLOBAL BOND MARKETS HAVE BROKEN CRITICAL LONG TERM TRENDS SOURCE: 10-01-18 Debt Bomb By The Phoenix – “Will the Bond Bubble Burst in October?” — The financial markets are now rapidly running out of liquidity. The Fed will withdraw $50 billion in liquidity from the financial system this month via its Quantitative Tightening, QT, program. This is the largest […]
JUNK BOND SPREADS AT LEVELS JUST PRIOR TO THE FINANCIAL CRISIS WITH LEVERAGE WORSE POST FINANCIAL CRISIS LONGER TERM PERSPECTIVE — SOURCE: 10-02-18 – “Junk Bond Spreads Just Dropped To The Lowest Since 2007” — The incredibly shrinking junk bond spread just passed a historic landmark when the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield index […]
BOND YIELDS EXPLODE HIGHER ON HOT ADP, ISM & US$ – ALL EYES ON OCTOBER NFP REPORT — SOURCE: 10-03-18 Seeking Alpha, The Heisenberg Report – “What Happened To Treasurys On Wednesday?” — KEY POINTS On Wednesday, bonds were routed and the selloff was the talk of the financial universe. 30-year and 10-year yields hit […]
THE GLOBAL DIVERGENCE DRIVING THE US$ HIGHER — SOURCE: 09-28-18 Authored by Ritesh Jain via WorldOutOfWhack.com, — “Trump’s Imperial Circle (Or The Most Important Chart In The World)” — Macrostrategy Partnership writes about perhaps the most important chart of the decade… Policy divergence is now set to accelerate the US$ rally. The Fed is in a battle […]
NOMINAL US GDP HAS FRACTURED THE LONG TERM OVERHEAD BOND MARKET YIELD RESISTANCE ZONE — SOURCE: 09-22-18 Lance Roberts – “Bulls Charge To All-Time Highs 09-21-18”– …… we continue to use dips in bond prices to be buyers. This is because the biggest gains over the next 5-years will come from Treasury bonds versus stocks. This […]
